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To Trade or Not to Trade

“When it’s not necessary to trade, it is necessary not to trade.” This is one of my guiding principles. It’s also one of the most difficult for me to follow. Like most people, I want to make money. When I trade, I usually make profits. Therefore, my default thought is...

Walk Forward Testing

In our quest for ways to predict markets or stocks, the idea of Walk Forward Testing arises from time to time. Basically, the assumption is that if you examine your data, say 1, 2, 3 years of data, you may find a strategy that can predict future price movements. To do...

More Trade Recommendations in 2021

During 2020, I made trade recommendations the day prior to making live trades. Our profit from June, 2020 until December, 2020 was 107%. Beginning now, I will make additional trade recommendations on the same day I make trades, but still prior to actually placing the...

Volatility

One of the factors we consider when deciding to trade (or not to trade) is volatility. There are many ways to measure volatility, and they invariably use the size of bars on the chart. I use daily bars, so I pay attention to the size of daily bars. I ignore minute...